Outright Picks - European Tour
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Celtic Manor Resort Wales Open (1pt):
Phillip Price to win 25/1 e.w. @
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds
and
Victor
Chandler
Price is a player in good form and looks excellent value at this price
even if his nerve is not the best under pressure. He was 2nd after two
rounds of the Volvo PGA Championship and still had a chance of victory
until his last round, he finished 23rd the week beforehand and was the
leader after three rounds of the China Masters in his previous
tournament before finishing 3rd. Add to that a course history of 5th
(2000), 14th (2001) and 7th (last year when 2nd with one round to play)
and the fact that he lives only a few miles from the course and has
played it many times. Definitely value at 25/1.
Nick O'Hern to win 66/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Another player whose inability to close out events is well-documented.
Would prefer top-10 place-only, but Paddy Power offer only half these
outright odds so there will be little value there. He does have good
course form with finishes of 5th and 8th in 2000 and 2001, plus 26th on
his return in 2003. He is in decent enough form to be competitive with a
top-5 finish earlier this month at the British Masters so there should
be a decent chance of a return, particularly if coming off the pace.
Paul McGinley to finish in the top-five 11/1 @
SkyBet
And a third who tends to contrive a finish off the podium places. That
may be a little unfair as he did finish 2nd in the Dubai Desert Classic
in March and already has finishes of 14th in the Asian Open and 5th in
the British Masters this month, plus he is a former winner of this event
in 2001 when it was reduced to 36 holes and he did finish 6th the
following years, but he still warrants more attention on the place-only
than each-way markets. A good price for this type of player.
Final update: 1-2; +5.75pts
Price 49th
O'Hern 4th
McGinley 41st
Good showing from O'Hern who had no chance of catching the leaders,
but had a strong front nine on Sunday to get himself into the places.
The back nine was predictably less impressive, but it was enough to
ensure a decent profit on the plays.
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