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Spread Picks - European Tour

Tipsters: Andy & Shaker

Open de Madrid

Finishing Position Trades (Andy) (0.5pt stakes)

Buy Miguel Angel Jimenez at 19 with Spreadex M/U 26, Profit 3.5 Pts. Strange week for Miguel. After six holes on Thursday you would have backed him to miss the cut as he was +4. From there he motored through the field to be a possible winner going into Sunday only to shoot 73 and make us an unexpected few points.

I am not the biggest advocate of using Course form to decide on a bet whether in support of a player or against, but there is no getting away from the fact that you would be 3 from 3, albeit only just by buying Jimenez's FP at this course over the last three years. When pricing up this event I reckoned MAJ should be around 21 to 22 so this being the case he has to be traded at 19 when all the advantages you have being a buyer in FP betting are working for you. Recent form sees Miguel finish at the Semi Final stage at Wentworth and he has been on an excellent run in the last 10 strokeplay events he has played since missing the cut at the US Open in June. His average FP over these 10 is though is around 22 so I feel value is in the buy at the prices offered.