|
Heineken Classic
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Stuart Appleby to win 14/1 e.w. @ SkyBet,
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds,
BetInternet
and
Victor
Chandler
Appleby may not have played competitively on this course since the
1990s, but he is playing well enough to compete with Els. He showed that
his run of 2nd and 1st place finishes at the end of the 2003 season was
no fluke by winning the Mercedes Championship against one of the
strongest fields of the year. In his home country, he should be a
shorter price than this.
Paul Casey to win 20/1 e.w. available generally
Casey is a player that I will have no hesitation in supporting if the
price is right. He did fail to close out this event when leading by two
shots at the halfway stage last year, but he learned from that
experience and promptly won the following week, again in the prestigious
Benson and Hedges International Open and rarely finished outside the
top-10 in any event in 2003. He did miss the cut on the PGA Tour last
week, but that will have blown away the tournament cobwebs and it gives
him an extra two days to prepare for this event.
Craig Parry to win 40/1 e.w. @
Paddy Power
Parry was not on my A-list for this event, but this a very surprising
price. Not only did he finish in the top-10 last year, but his post-PGA
Tour season finishes last year read: 7th, 33rd, 10th, 2nd, 3rd and 20th.
And apart from the first event, the Japan Open, these were all against
strong fields. Can't see him winning, despite winning the NEC
Invitational in 2002, but equally it is difficult to envisage Popeye not
being in contention at least this week.
Final update: 0-3; -4.50 units
Appleby 16th
Casey 39th
Parry 32nd
Not a good event. None of the selections even got into
the top-10, let along a place position.
|
